Homeowners are trading big renovations for smaller projects as economic uncertainty grows

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Homeowners are trading big renovations for smaller projects as economic uncertainty grows

It’s a tough time to start a big remodeling project: Tariffs threaten to make renovations more expensive, inflation is still hot, and labor costs continue to climb. Faced with these uncertainties, some homeowners are pausing ambitious plans in favor of more bite-sized projects.

At a time when a full kitchen overhaul can run in the mid-five figures and a major bathroom redo can cost over $25,000, home improvement retailers like Home Depot and Lowe’s say they’re seeing clients prioritize smaller, more affordable projects.

The caution and focus on cheaper projects bucks expectations that millions of homeowners who built up equity and want to keep ultra-low mortgage rates would rush to take on big remodeling projects to upgrade homes that might no longer meet their needs. While renovation spending surged between 2020 and 2022 in conjunction with a homebuying boom, growth slowed after mortgage rates rose and home sales turned sluggish.

Learn more: When will mortgage rates go down?

Remodeling spending is still increasing, though no longer at the pace of the pandemic years, according to data from Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. Meanwhile, costs for common projects may continue to mount: On Thursday, President Trump announced a new 50% tariff on kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities.

“We’re managing [tariffs and pricing] literally real time because this is uncharted waters,” Lowe’s CEO Marvin Ellison said on the company’s most recent earnings call in August. “It’s a dynamic environment.”

Lately, business has been slow for Gabriel Perez, a consultant at Premium Siding & Painting Co. in Austin, Texas. A few years ago, the family-owned company routinely had enough business to keep three crews busy. Now, they usually just have one crew working.

He’s seeing consumers put off pricey discretionary projects like full siding replacements, which can run between $13,000 and $20,000 for a typical home in the area, and instead, opt to make repairs.

Business in window replacements, which are cheaper ($10,000 can cover all the windows on a house), has held up better, as have roof replacements, because they’re more frequently covered by insurance.

“I think people are just trying to save more than they are trying to spend,” Perez said. “It’s expensive to survive just in general.”

Contractors who specialize in renovations are also feeling less confident about what the future holds.

The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index, a measure of market conditions, slipped to 59 in the second quarter and is down from 77 three years earlier. A level of 50 indicates that more remodelers feel that conditions are good than bad. Remodelers’ views about the future — measured by project inquiries and work backlog — are barely positive at 51 versus 70 in 2022.

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